HR8148-119

In Committee

Prediction Market RISK Act

119th Congress Introduced Mar 27, 2026

Analysis under review: This bill has generated analysis that may be too generic or incomplete. Clause-level evidence remains available below.

Summary

What This Bill Does

This bill, Prediction Market RISK Act, changes federal law or congressional policy affecting financial institutions, investors, and borrowers. The main policy domain is Finance, Trade, Immigration.

Who Benefits and How

financial institutions, investors, and borrowers may benefit from new authority, funding, eligibility, regulatory clarity, or reduced risk created by the bill.

Who Bears the Burden and How

federal implementing agencies, financial institutions, investors, and borrowers may take on implementation duties, reporting obligations, compliance costs, or oversight responsibilities.

Key Provisions

  • Section H00353BCCF37F4608B82833EDAC330EEC: 1. Short title This Act may be cited as the Prediction Market Restrictions on Insider Speculation and Knowledge-Trading Act or the Prediction Market RISK Act.
  • Section HAF7D773376914CB4AD78A1655AF8345A: 2. Definition The term prediction market contract means any financial instrument, contract, or derivative listed on or offered by a platform engaged in...
  • Section H11DF7D492CF746FDAE1BFA1B3127ACE8: 3. CFTC authority to enforce prohibited transactions occurring in relation to a prediction market contract Section 4(c) and section 6(c) of the Commodity...

Evidence Chain:

This summary is generated from the full bill text using AI analysis. Expand "Detailed Analysis" below for identified beneficiaries/burden bearers.

At a Glance

What This Bill Does

This bill, Prediction Market RISK Act, changes federal law or congressional policy affecting financial institutions, investors, and borrowers.

Key Policy Areas

Finance, Trade, Immigration

Primary Purpose

This bill, Prediction Market RISK Act, changes federal law or congressional policy affecting financial institutions, investors, and borrowers.

Policy Domains

Finance Trade Immigration

Whole bill

Identified Gains
Contextual inference, no direct clause citation
  • financial institutions, investors, and borrowers
Model: codex-gpt-5 | Version: bill_summary_v2 | Source: ih

Contextual inference, no direct clause citation

Identified Costs
Contextual inference, no direct clause citation
  • federal implementing agencies
  • financial institutions, investors, and borrowers
Model: codex-gpt-5 | Version: bill_summary_v2 | Source: ih

Contextual inference, no direct clause citation

Legislative Progress

In Committee
Introduced Committee Passed
Mar 27, 2026

Referred to the House Committee on Agriculture.

Mar 27, 2026

Introduced in House

Mar 27, 2026

Mr. Moulton introduced the following bill; which was referred to …

Bill Structure & Actor Mappings

Who is "The Secretary" in each section?

Domains
Finance Trade Immigration
Actor Mappings
"federal_implementing_agencies"
→ Federal agencies assigned duties by the bill

We use a combination of our own taxonomy and classification in addition to large language models to assess meaning and potential beneficiaries. High confidence means strong textual evidence. Always verify with the original bill text.

Learn more about our methodology